Monthly Archives: July 2011

Palo Alto tops Menlo Park again this week in multiple offers

Palo Alto’s roll continues.

Pending sales — homes under contract, that is — is a great window on how the market is moving because it’s the most forward-looking indicator of market trends. We pay close attention to pending sales to get a feel for where the market is heading. This week, our poll of listing agents with properties that went pending in 30 days or less confirms that Palo Alto is hot. 

A few more homes went under contract in Menlo Park than Palo Alto last week. But Palo Alto saw much more competitive bidding.  Only 1 of Menlo Park’s 6 pending sales saw multiple offers. In Palo Alto, multiple offers were presented at 3 of 5 homes that went into contract last week, according to Dreyfus Properties’ poll of listing agents.

*Time Period: July 18 – 25
**Results based on email poll of listing agents with properties that went pending in 30 days or less.
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It’s time to sell in Palo Alto – Susan Tanner interviewed in the Palo Alto Patch

Dreyfus Properties is in the news again. First Michael Dreyfus in Fortune magazine, and now Susan Tanner in the Palo Alto Patch. Armed with the sales numbers we’ve just released, Susan Tanner spoke to the newspaper about the surging market in Palo Alto. Read what Susan has to say in the the full article.

The Patch took note of our eye-ball busting numbers: homes under contract in Palo Alto went up 60% since May of last year.

Homes under contract, or pending sales, is a very accurate read of the market right now. Units sold is a backward looking number, whereas units under contract indicates where the market is trending. Susan and our agents use this heads-up information to help their homebuyer and seller clients react to the moves of the market.

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Portola Valley & Woodside bust out in Q2, led by high end sales

After a long period of inactivity, Portola Valley and Woodside have finally busted out with a positive quarter, led mostly by high end sales in both cities. Portola Valley showed a 32% rise in average sale prices, a number that is actually higher in that it does not reflect several over $10 million dollar off-market sales. Likewise. Woodside posted a 20% rise. It, too, had several unreported sales in the over $10 million dollar market. Woodside Hills and Woodside Glens showed sharp signs of recovery. All in all, it appears that the buyers are back in rural markets of the mid-peninsula.
 

Portola Valley & Woodside
 

PORTOLA VALLEY  |  WOODSIDE

Brookside Park
Significant drops in average and median sales prices from the same quarter last year masks the positive news that sales are up 300%, as buyers responded to seller’s realistic pricing. Inventory also plummeted to a 30 day supply as the market shifted sharply in the sellers favor.

Central Portola Valley
Wow. The hill busted out with over 60% bumps in the median and average sales price as the high-end buyers leapt off the fence. Several mega “quiet sales” also occurred. They are not reflected in the official numbers making this one of the best quarters seen in the neighborhood since the go-go days.

Ladera
Ladera continues its strong performance as one of the least volatile neighborhoods in Portola Valley. Except for a disappearing act in the first quarter of 2009, the neighborhood has performed remarkably well through the last downturn and continues to show steady price improvements on a quarter by quarter basis.

Los Trancos/Vista Verde
Schizophrenic numbers reflect a high end sale in the Buck Meadows neighborhood mixing with some entry level sales in Los Trancos.

Portola Valley Ranch
PV Ranch bounced back from a few week quarters with some solid sales. Low inventory bodes well for increased prices.

Santa Maria / Russell Area
Prices reached a two year high as inventory dwindled and under contract sales rose in the neighborhood.

Central Woodside
The sweet spot of Woodside matched Central Portola Valley as prices surged up the charts after two years in the doldrums. Multiple high-end “quiet sales” also went down as a flurry of sales occurred in the later part of the quarter. Under contract sales were up 100%, but inventory also rose dramatically as pent-up sellers listed in response to the new prices.

Emerald Hills
Prices held firm but inventory dropped and sales tripled forecasting potential price appreciation in the coming quarters.

Hidden Valley
Volume is so low in this neighborhood that statistics are insignificant, so we leave it off our graph. That being said a $20 million property on Hidden Valley sold after a year on the market. Another example of the return of the elite home buyers.

Woodside Glens
Finally some price recovery after a tough 2010. Inventory still remains way too high and even climbed dramatically in the second quarter, up 50% over the year before.

Woodside Hills
The best performing neighborhood in Woodside and Portola Valley. Inventory dropped over 50% from the previous year resulting in a surge in sale prices. Sales were also up 300% as buyers recognized that the deals were disappearing and jumped in to purchase. 

Palo Alto sees twice as many offers on homes that went under contract in the past 3 weeks

We’ve collected information on multiple offers from local agents for all homes for sale that went into contract over the past three weeks.  The numbers confirm what our agents are seeing in the field:  nearly the same number of properties went pending in Menlo Park (22) and Palo Alto (20), but Palo Alto (39) saw nearly twice the number of offers than Menlo Park (23). Michael Dreyfus tells the tale of one competitive bidding situation on a home he sold in this month’s Fortune magazine cover story.Multiple Offer Situations on Pending Home Sales

 

Time Period: June 26 – July 17

Results based on email poll of listing agents with properties that went pending in 30 days or less.

Michael Dreyfus is featured in Fortune magazine cover story

This month’s Fortune magazine’s cover story kicks off with a vignette from Michael Dreyfus about a home he recently sold above list price in a frantic bidding war among seven buyers. The upshot? ”We live in an alternate universe here.” Michael said. Read the full story at Fortune Magazine:

http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2011/07/11/dont-call-it-the-next-tech-bubble-yet/

“Michael Dreyfus, 49, is a leading real estate broker in the heart of Silicon Valley. During the winter he sensed the housing market was coming back, though he hadn’t a clue what he’d be in for. In February prospective sellers came to him with a listing for a perfectly respectable property in Palo Alto: four bedrooms, three bathrooms, 7,500-square-foot lot, needs work. He recommended that the sellers ask $1.9 million. When the house went on the market in April, they had bumped the price to $2.3 million. Seven offers came in above that price; $2.7 million won the frantic bidding. Several buyers attempted to make offers even as the broker was supervising repairs to a kitchen flooded by a burst pipe. What’s a little leak when the price tomorrow may hit $3 million? “We live in an alternative universe here,” Dreyfus acknowledges.”  

Source: “Don’t Call It the Next Tech Bubble – Yet.” FORTUNE magazine, July 2011.